RESEARCH MATERIAL - 77

THE PROCEEDING
OF
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON TECHNOLOGY
FORESIGHT

- The approach to and the potential for New Technology Foresight -

March 2001

Science and Technology Foresight Center

National Institute of Science and Technology Policy
(NISTEP)

Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Japan


Contents

Foreword
Summary

Opening address

Welcome Speech
Mr. Jiro Shibata (Director General, NISTEP, Japan)
Introduction of APEC Center for Technology Foresight
Dr. Chatri Sripaipan (Co-Director, APEC Center for Technology Foresight, Kingdom of Thailand)

Session " Current Foresight Activities in the World "

Foresight in the UK
Prof. John Wood (The University of Nottingham, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland)
Foresight Studies in Australia
Prof. Greg Tegart (Executive Advisor, APEC Center for Technology Foresight, Australia)
The Application of Technology Projection Methods in Canada
Dr. Sadiq Hasnain (Senior Advisor, National Research Council (NRC), Canada)
Technology Foresight in Sweden
Dr. Enrico Deiaco (Acting President, Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences, Kingdom of Sweden)
Current Foresight Activities in New Zealand
Dr. Paul Reynolds (Chief Policy Advisor; Ministry of Research, Science and Technology, New Zealand)
Changes in the US Approach to Technology Foresight and Critical Technology Assessment
Dr. Bruce Don (Director, Science and Technology Policy Institute, RAND, United States of America)
Status and prospects of technology foresight in Germany after ten years
Dr. Hariolf Grupp (Deputy-Director General, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, Federal Republic of Germany)
Searching for leadership in innovation niches: Technology Foresight in Austria
Dr. Georg Aichholzer (Deputy-Director, Institute for Technology Assessment, Austria Academy of Science, Republic of Austria)
The 2nd Technology Forecast Survey by Delphi Approach in Korea
Dr. Kichul Lim (Director, Division of Research Coordination, Science and Technology Policy Institute, Republic of Korea)
A Brief Introduction of National Technology Foresight in China
Dr. Cheng Jiayu (Super researcher, National Research Center for Science and Technology for Development, Ministry of Science and Technology, People's Republic of China)
Technology Foresight in Japan -The potential and implications of DELPHI approach-
Mr. Terutaka Kuwahara (Director, Fourth Policy-Oriented Research Group, National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, Japan)

Session" Multi-country Foresight Activities "

Multi-Economy Foresight - Experience of APEC Center for Technology Foresight
Prof. Greg Tegart (Executive Advisor, APEC Center for Technology Foresight, Australia)
The IPTS Future Project
Dr. Gustavo Fahrenkrog (Head of Future Project, Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, European Union)
Multi-country Delphi survey
Dr. Taeyoung Shin (Director, Industrial Innovation Studies, Science and Technology Policy Institute, Republic of Korea)
Building an APEC Technology Foresight Network
Mr. Jacques Lyrette (Vice-President, National Research Council (NRC), Canada)

Session"Lessons for Foresight Newcomers"

Foresight -The National Research and Technology Foresight Project
Dr. Philemon Mjwara (Director, Technology Development, Department of Arts, Culture, Science and Technology, Republic of South Africa)
Technology Foresight in Hungary
Dr. Sandor Toth (Director-General, Head of the Secretariat for Science and Technology Policy Council, Republic of Hungary)
Lessons Learned in Technology Foresight From Developing Country Perspectives
Dr. Malee Suwana-adth (Special Consultant, National Center for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology, National Science and Technology Development Agency, Kingdom of Thailand)
Authority, Legitimacy and Credibility of Technology Foresight Studies
Dr. Chatri Sripaipan (Co-Director, APEC Center for Technology Foresight, Kingdom of Thailand)

Session " Foresight by Mode 2 approach "

Integration of Socio-economic Needs into Technology Foresight
Prof. Isao Karube (Director, Center for Collaborative Research, University of Tokyo, Japan)
Third Generation Foresight - Integrating the Socio-economic Dimension
Prof. Luke Georghiou (Professor of the University of Manchester/ Director of Policy Research in Engineering, Science and Technology, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland)

Closing address

Closing address
Prof. Sipphanondha Ketudat (Chairman of Board of Director, National Economic and Social Development Board of Thailand, Kingdom of Thailand)

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